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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-07 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,949.41–6,957.4 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 1.8% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 78% ±20 | 24% ±12 | 50% ±14 | 26% ±12 | 50 | 59% ±10 | 79% ±19 | 89% ±25 | 96% ±29 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.16% | 100 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,943.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 6,922.61 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 3.9% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 63× | 64% ±27 | 22% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 34 | 53% ±11 | 63% ±26 | 82% ±38 | 83% ±52 | 2h | 0.58% | 0.15% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,907.49 (-0.5%) | 1.8 | 7.4% | 16h | 7.5d ago · 75× | 33% ±28 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 44 | 16% ±9 | 32% ±28 | 59% ±48 | 77% ±58 | 2.1d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,887.83 (-0.8%) | 2.8 | 6.3% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 20% ±23 | 25% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±22 | 38% ±48 | 50% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.79% | 0.48% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,868.23 (-1.1%) | 3.8 | 4.9% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 13% ±15 | 23% ±13 | 50% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 7% ±4 | 13% ±15 | 33% ±35 | 58% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.83% | 0.27% | 121 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 6,853.04 (-1.3%) | 4.6 | 6.4% | 9h | 5.4d ago · 48× | 15% ±20 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 34% ±46 | 51% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,818.25 (-1.8%) | 6.4 | 6.1% | 6h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 7% ±11 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 7% ±11 | 18% ±31 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 116 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.