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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-06 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,948.69–6,948.69 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 87% ±17 | 24% ±12 | 50% ±14 | 26% ±12 | 50 | 68% ±10 | 87% ±17 | 93% ±22 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 0.49% | 0.16% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,946.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,907.02–6,913.95 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 6.0% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 34% ±28 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 44 | 18% ±9 | 34% ±28 | 62% ±47 | 74% ±60 | 2.0d | 0.54% | 0.19% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,879.2 (-1.0%) | 3.5 | 4.8% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 19% ±22 | 25% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±22 | 39% ±48 | 48% ±69 | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.48% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,867.84 (-1.1%) | 4.1 | 4.1% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 13% ±15 | 23% ±13 | 50% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 6% ±4 | 13% ±15 | 33% ±35 | 57% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.83% | 0.27% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 6,844.46 (-1.5%) | 5.3 | 8.3% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 16% ±21 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 5% ±5 | 16% ±21 | 32% ±46 | 56% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,809.72 (-2.0%) | 7.1 | 4.8% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 6% ±10 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 4% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 14% ±26 | 20% ±45 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 126 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.