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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-06 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,945.77 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.3% | 15m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 74% ±21 | 28% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 26% ±14 | 40 | 53% ±10 | 73% ±21 | 86% ±28 | 95% ±30 | 3h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,933.5 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 87% ±17 | 17% ±10 | 57% ±14 | 26% ±12 | 50 | 70% ±9 | 87% ±17 | 92% ±23 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 0.35% | 0.13% | 91 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,929.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,903.17–6,911.04 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 7.3% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 59% ±27 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 44 | 44% ±11 | 59% ±27 | 79% ±40 | 86% ±49 | 13h | 0.54% | 0.19% | 80 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,876.31 (-0.8%) | 2.6 | 5.5% | 11h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 21% ±24 | 25% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±24 | 41% ±48 | 54% ±69 | 5.0d | 0.79% | 0.48% | 67 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,864.01 (-1.0%) | 3.2 | 5.3% | 6h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 17% ±17 | 23% ±13 | 50% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 10% ±6 | 16% ±17 | 35% ±38 | 64% ±54 | 5.0d | 0.83% | 0.27% | 110 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 6,841.58 (-1.3%) | 4.3 | 9.5% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 16% ±22 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±21 | 35% ±47 | 53% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 69 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,806.85 (-1.8%) | 6.0 | 4.4% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 6% ±11 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 19% ±31 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 109 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.