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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-06 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,945.77 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.0% | 14m | 5.5d ago · 66× | 76% ±22 | 28% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 26% ±14 | 40 | 55% ±10 | 76% ±22 | 88% ±28 | 95% ±29 | 2h | 0.59% | 0.17% | 92 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,932.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 6,921.37 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 4.9% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 52× | 69% ±30 | 24% ±15 | 38% ±17 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 51% ±13 | 69% ±30 | 85% ±40 | 93% | 4h | 0.36% | 0.27% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 6,903.17–6,911.04 (-0.3%) | 1.1 | 6.6% | 10h | 5.5d ago · 75× | 50% ±28 | 24% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 43 | 36% ±11 | 51% ±27 | 74% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 23h | 0.54% | 0.17% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,876.31 (-0.8%) | 2.9 | 5.4% | 11h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 21% ±24 | 25% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±23 | 40% ±48 | 51% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.79% | 0.48% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,861.81 (-1.0%) | 3.6 | 5.1% | 7h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 14% ±16 | 23% ±13 | 50% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 7% ±5 | 14% ±16 | 33% ±38 | 58% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.83% | 0.27% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 6,841.58 (-1.3%) | 4.7 | 9.3% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 16% ±22 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±20 | 34% ±46 | 53% ±69 | 7.0d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 71 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,806.85 (-1.8%) | 6.5 | 4.3% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 7% ±11 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 7% ±11 | 18% ±31 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 116 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,932.52 | 6,992.08 | 6,903.17 | expired | +0.15% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,932.52 | 6,945.77 | 6,876.31 | target | +0.15% |