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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-05 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,945.77 (+0.6%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 13m | 5.4d ago · 66× | 27% ±22 | 28% ±14 | 46% ±15 | 26% ±14 | 40 | 10% ±6 | 27% ±22 | 52% ±44 | 80% ±55 | 2.7d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,920.38 (+0.3%) | 1.0 | 5.1% | 2h | 5.3d ago · 71× | 75% ±19 | 17% ±11 | 56% ±14 | 27% ±12 | 49 | 55% ±9 | 75% ±19 | 87% ±25 | 95% ±24 | 2h | 0.35% | 0.12% | 122 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,906.45–6,911.04 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.2% | 15h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 80% ±25 | 31% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 40 | 65% ±12 | 80% ±25 | 89% ±35 | 95% | 2h | 0.46% | 0.24% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,902.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,876.31 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 5.1% | 10h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 40% ±32 | 25% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 26% ±12 | 39% ±32 | 53% ±57 | 75% | 2.2d | 0.79% | 0.48% | 52 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,860.82 (-0.6%) | 2.3 | 4.8% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 28% ±26 | 23% ±13 | 50% ±15 | 27% ±14 | 41 | 18% ±9 | 28% ±25 | 42% ±48 | 70% ±63 | 4.0d | 0.83% | 0.27% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,841.58 (-0.9%) | 3.3 | 8.8% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 23% ±27 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 5% ±6 | 22% ±27 | 45% ±56 | 57% | 6.9d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,806.85 (-1.4%) | 5.2 | 4.1% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 7% ±13 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±13 | 21% ±36 | 30% ±63 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 95 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.