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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-08 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,946.6–6,965.69 (+0.4%) | 1.6 | 1.9% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 32% ±23 | 24% ±12 | 49% ±14 | 27% ±12 | 51 | 14% ±7 | 32% ±23 | 55% ±44 | 81% ±54 | 2.8d | 0.48% | 0.21% | 95 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,921.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,896.41–6,907.02 (-0.2%) | 0.9 | 6.7% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 67× | 59% ±27 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 41 | 46% ±11 | 60% ±26 | 73% ±39 | 85% ±50 | 16h | 0.74% | 0.27% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,861.2 (-0.9%) | 3.8 | 3.5% | 6h | 5.2d ago · 48× | 18% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 3% ±4 | 18% ±23 | 36% ±47 | 56% ±69 | 6.9d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 66 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,826.38 (-1.4%) | 6.0 | 4.7% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 17% ±30 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 112 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.