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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-08 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,958.62–6,965.69 (+0.6%) | 2.5 | 1.9% | 1h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 23% ±20 | 20% ±11 | 51% ±14 | 29% ±12 | 51 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±20 | 46% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 3.9d | 0.42% | 0.18% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAH | 6,946.6–6,948.72 (+0.4%) | 1.7 | 1.9% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 39% ±26 | 28% ±14 | 47% ±15 | 25% ±13 | 41 | 19% ±9 | 38% ±26 | 61% ±48 | 87% ±47 | 2.1d | 0.54% | 0.24% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,930.86 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 3.8% | 9h | 5.4d ago · 46× | 75% ±27 | 23% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 60% ±13 | 75% ±27 | 93% ±28 | 95% | 2h | 0.41% | 0.34% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,918.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,906.31–6,907.02 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 7.1% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 67× | 75% ±23 | 23% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 29% ±14 | 41 | 60% ±10 | 75% ±22 | 85% ±31 | 89% ±43 | 1h | 0.72% | 0.19% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,896.41 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 5.7% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 35% ±30 | 25% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 24% ±11 | 36% ±30 | 47% ±57 | 68% | 3.1d | 0.79% | 0.48% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,826.38 (-1.3%) | 5.7 | 4.7% | 6h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 6% ±11 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 18% ±31 | 23% ±48 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 108 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.