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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-08 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,965.69 (+0.6%) | 3.0 | 0.9% | 18m | 7.6d ago · 49× | 20% ±20 | 25% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 5% ±4 | 20% ±19 | 48% ±40 | 68% ±65 | 3.9d | 0.53% | 0.23% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,947.31 (+0.4%) | 1.8 | 1.7% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 36% ±26 | 23% ±11 | 53% ±14 | 24% ±12 | 52 | 17% ±8 | 35% ±25 | 55% ±44 | 84% ±50 | 2.4d | 0.47% | 0.14% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,930.86 (+0.1%) | 0.7 | 4.0% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 46× | 79% ±27 | 23% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 64% ±13 | 79% ±26 | 95% ±25 | 97% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.34% | 56 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,921.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 6,919.74 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.4% | 6h | 7.6d ago · 75× | 81% ±23 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 44 | 63% ±12 | 81% ±23 | 91% ±28 | 96% ±28 | 1h | 0.50% | 0.22% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,907.02 (-0.2%) | 1.0 | 7.1% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 67% ±25 | 23% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 56% ±10 | 68% ±24 | 85% ±31 | 86% ±48 | 2h | 0.58% | 0.15% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,896.41–6,899.24 (-0.3%) | 1.5 | 6.8% | 11h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 46% ±31 | 24% ±13 | 42% ±15 | 34% ±15 | 41 | 33% ±12 | 47% ±31 | 59% ±56 | 80% | 1.7d | 0.81% | 0.36% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,826.38 (-1.4%) | 6.4 | 3.8% | 5h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 7% ±11 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 18% ±28 | 24% ±48 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 122 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.