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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-09 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,965.69 (+0.1%) | 0.5 | 1.0% | 21m | 7.5d ago · 49× | 80% ±22 | 25% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 60% ±11 | 80% ±22 | 90% ±29 | 98% ±21 | 2h | 0.53% | 0.23% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,957.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,947.31 (-0.1%) | 0.6 | 1.9% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 52× | 67% ±29 | 19% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 37% ±17 | 32 | 53% ±13 | 67% ±29 | 83% ±42 | 90% | 12h | 0.38% | 0.21% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,930.86 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 4.4% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 49% ±37 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 23% ±13 | 49% ±37 | 65% ±66 | 67% | 1.0d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,919.74 (-0.5%) | 2.3 | 5.9% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 75× | 27% ±25 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 44 | 12% ±8 | 29% ±26 | 56% ±49 | 73% ±62 | 2.1d | 0.50% | 0.22% | 71 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,896.41–6,907.02 (-0.7%) | 3.1 | 7.8% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 67× | 15% ±16 | 23% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 41 | 6% ±4 | 15% ±16 | 36% ±36 | 55% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.74% | 0.29% | 117 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,826.38 (-1.9%) | 8.1 | 4.2% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 6% ±9 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 12% ±23 | 18% ±44 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,957.08 | 7,005.15 | 6,919.74 | expired | +0.13% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,957.08 | 7,007.98 | 6,907.02 | expired | +0.13% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,957.08 | 6,965.69 | 6,826.38 | target | +0.13% |