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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-09 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,969.52 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.1% | 15m | 7.7d ago · 49× | 94% ±15 | 25% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 72% ±11 | 94% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 97% ±24 | 1h | 0.53% | 0.23% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,968.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,946.29–6,947.74 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 52× | 55% ±33 | 19% ±14 | 44% ±17 | 37% ±17 | 32 | 38% ±13 | 56% ±32 | 75% ±49 | 85% | 22h | 0.38% | 0.21% | 52 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,934.67 (-0.5%) | 2.0 | 4.7% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 48× | 44% ±40 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 18% ±12 | 43% ±40 | 61% ±67 | 64% | 1.8d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 38 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,912.16–6,913.61 (-0.8%) | 3.2 | 7.4% | 9h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 20% ±24 | 25% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 45 | 7% ±6 | 20% ±24 | 46% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 4.4d | 0.54% | 0.18% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,894.01–6,898.37 (-1.0%) | 4.1 | 5.5% | 12h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 14% ±15 | 26% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 42 | 5% ±4 | 14% ±15 | 33% ±35 | 51% ±57 | 6.0d | 0.82% | 0.35% | 122 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,830.13 (-2.0%) | 8.1 | 4.1% | 6h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 12% ±23 | 18% ±38 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 147 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.