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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-09 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,978.36 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 1.0% | 55m | 7.5d ago · 49× | 78% ±21 | 25% ±14 | 45% ±16 | 30% ±15 | 37 | 59% ±10 | 78% ±21 | 90% ±26 | 98% ±20 | 2h | 0.53% | 0.23% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,965.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,959.87 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 2.0% | 2h | 13.5d ago · 40× | 72% ±36 | 13% ±14 | 50% ±21 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 61% ±15 | 71% ±33 | 87% ±46 | 92% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.12% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 6,943.47–6,947.11 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 52× | 51% ±33 | 28% ±15 | 38% ±17 | 35% ±17 | 32 | 29% ±12 | 50% ±33 | 71% ±52 | 79% | 1.1d | 0.53% | 0.24% | 53 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 6,914.56 (-0.7%) | 3.4 | 5.9% | 7h | 7.5d ago · 75× | 24% ±26 | 27% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 45 | 6% ±6 | 24% ±25 | 49% ±49 | 73% ±62 | 3.0d | 0.50% | 0.21% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,895.17–6,906.73 (-0.9%) | 3.9 | 5.2% | 14h | 5.5d ago · 67× | 13% ±15 | 25% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 32% ±14 | 42 | 4% ±3 | 13% ±14 | 32% ±35 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.74% | 0.28% | 123 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,769.01 (-2.8%) | 13 | 1.2% | 1h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 4% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±22 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,965.99 | 6,943.47 | 7,016.04 | open | — |