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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 6,978.36 (+0.2%) | 1.1 | 1.2% | 60m | 7.7d ago · 49× | 71% ±24 | 24% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 29% ±14 | 38 | 48% ±11 | 71% ±24 | 88% ±28 | 97% ±22 | 18h | 0.43% | 0.22% | 81 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,961.04 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,959.87 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.4% | 3h | 13.7d ago · 40× | 71% ±40 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 62% ±17 | 71% ±40 | 85% ±49 | 91% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.12% | 32 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 6,943.47–6,947.72 (-0.2%) | 0.8 | 3.8% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 52× | 61% ±29 | 27% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 34% ±16 | 33 | 45% ±12 | 61% ±29 | 78% ±40 | 83% ±52 | 20h | 0.54% | 0.24% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,895.17–6,914.27 (-0.7%) | 2.9 | 7.0% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 16% ±16 | 26% ±13 | 42% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 46 | 5% ±4 | 16% ±16 | 37% ±36 | 56% ±56 | 5.6d | 0.67% | 0.26% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,769.01 (-2.8%) | 12 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±20 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.