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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,978.36 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 1.5% | 1h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 82% ±18 | 21% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 53 | 62% ±9 | 82% ±18 | 90% ±24 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 0.38% | 0.18% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,971.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,964.5 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.0% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 40× | 69% ±34 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 60% ±15 | 70% ±34 | 88% ±44 | 93% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.12% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,943.47–6,947.32 (-0.3%) | 1.4 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 45% ±26 | 30% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 46 | 24% ±9 | 45% ±26 | 69% ±41 | 79% ±57 | 1.3d | 0.58% | 0.21% | 82 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,920.31 (-0.7%) | 3.0 | 7.2% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 17% ±17 | 24% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 42 | 11% ±6 | 16% ±17 | 34% ±38 | 62% ±55 | 5.0d | 0.82% | 0.26% | 108 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 6,906.73 (-0.9%) | 3.8 | 5.5% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 63× | 13% ±21 | 23% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 5% ±6 | 13% ±21 | 32% ±53 | 57% | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.15% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,896.71 (-1.1%) | 4.4 | 4.8% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 16% ±18 | 27% ±16 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±18 | 35% ±42 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.46% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,769.01 (-2.9%) | 12 | 1.4% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±20 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 153 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.