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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,982.85–6,986.33 (+0.1%) | 0.4 | 3.2% | 2h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 81% ±18 | 21% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 53 | 62% ±9 | 81% ±18 | 90% ±24 | 96% ±22 | 1h | 0.38% | 0.18% | 109 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,976.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,971.75 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 3.3% | 4h | 13.6d ago · 40× | 68% ±34 | 12% ±14 | 52% ±21 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 60% ±15 | 70% ±34 | 88% ±44 | 93% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.12% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,946.75–6,951.4 (-0.4%) | 1.7 | 2.4% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 34% ±27 | 30% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 46 | 13% ±8 | 34% ±27 | 61% ±48 | 73% ±62 | 2.0d | 0.58% | 0.21% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,926.3 (-0.7%) | 3.4 | 5.1% | 8h | 7.3d ago · 67× | 15% ±16 | 24% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 42 | 9% ±5 | 15% ±16 | 32% ±34 | 58% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.82% | 0.26% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 6,914.23 (-0.9%) | 4.2 | 6.2% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 63× | 15% ±22 | 23% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 6% ±6 | 14% ±22 | 29% ±51 | 55% | 6.9d | 0.58% | 0.15% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,897.22 (-1.1%) | 5.3 | 6.5% | 7h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 10% ±14 | 27% ±16 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 32% ±37 | 41% ±56 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.46% | 105 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,776.74 (-2.9%) | 13 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 4% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 12% ±22 | 16% ±41 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,976.72 | 6,946.75 | 6,993.03 | target | +0.20% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,976.72 | 6,951.4 | 7,024.06 | target | +0.20% |