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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,982.85–6,986.33 (+0.4%) | 2.0 | 3.3% | 2h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 34% ±24 | 21% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 53 | 11% ±7 | 34% ±24 | 60% ±43 | 84% ±50 | 2.0d | 0.38% | 0.18% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,971.75 (+0.3%) | 1.3 | 3.5% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 51% ±25 | 29% ±14 | 49% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 42 | 31% ±10 | 51% ±25 | 72% ±39 | 89% ±44 | 1.0d | 0.59% | 0.17% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,951.6 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,946.75–6,951.4 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 75% ±24 | 30% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 46 | 57% ±11 | 75% ±24 | 86% ±34 | 89% ±43 | 1h | 0.58% | 0.21% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,926.3 (-0.4%) | 1.6 | 5.4% | 9h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 55% ±31 | 24% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 42 | 44% ±12 | 55% ±31 | 64% ±54 | 82% | 22h | 0.82% | 0.26% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,914.23 (-0.5%) | 2.3 | 6.6% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 63× | 22% ±29 | 23% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 12% ±9 | 21% ±28 | 51% ±57 | 63% | 2.2d | 0.58% | 0.15% | 50 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,897.22 (-0.8%) | 3.4 | 6.9% | 7h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 18% ±21 | 27% ±16 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±20 | 35% ±42 | 45% ±69 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.46% | 82 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,776.74 (-2.5%) | 11 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 5% ±9 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 11% ±21 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 151 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,951.6 | 6,914.23 | 6,985.16 | target | +0.57% |