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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH · 7D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,971.75–6,986.33 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 5h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 79% ±18 | 24% ±12 | 48% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 53 | 61% ±9 | 79% ±18 | 90% ±22 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 0.45% | 0.21% | 120 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,970.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 6,951.4 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 3.0% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 48× | 53% ±31 | 32% ±16 | 35% ±17 | 32% ±16 | 31 | 34% ±12 | 55% ±31 | 69% ±52 | 71% | 1.0d | 0.70% | 0.23% | 60 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,935 (-0.5%) | 2.2 | 5.3% | 6h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 30% ±25 | 24% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 27% ±13 | 42 | 19% ±9 | 29% ±25 | 40% ±48 | 65% ±66 | 4.0d | 0.82% | 0.26% | 77 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 6,914.23 (-0.8%) | 3.5 | 6.5% | 8h | 5.6d ago · 63× | 16% ±23 | 23% ±14 | 46% ±16 | 31% ±15 | 36 | 6% ±6 | 15% ±21 | 38% ±48 | 61% ±68 | 6.0d | 0.58% | 0.15% | 64 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,897.22 (-1.1%) | 4.5 | 6.9% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 15% ±17 | 27% ±16 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±17 | 32% ±41 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.46% | 97 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,776.74 (-2.8%) | 12 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 11% ±20 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 155 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.