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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-13 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,977.2–6,986.33 (+0.2%) | 0.9 | 4.1% | 5h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 62% ±24 | 24% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 54 | 38% ±10 | 62% ±24 | 81% ±35 | 93% ±35 | 18h | 0.45% | 0.21% | 97 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,962.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,940.22–6,951.4 (-0.2%) | 0.7 | 3.8% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 67× | 64% ±24 | 26% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 42 | 51% ±11 | 65% ±24 | 77% ±37 | 84% ±51 | 12h | 0.71% | 0.21% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,913.42 (-0.7%) | 3.0 | 6.5% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 19% ±21 | 27% ±16 | 30% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±21 | 35% ±42 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 0.82% | 0.46% | 84 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,776.74 (-2.7%) | 11 | 1.8% | 3h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 5% ±8 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±8 | 11% ±21 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 152 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 6,962.98 | 6,983.09 | 6,913.42 | stop | -0.50% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,962.98 | 6,986.33 | 6,776.74 | expired | -0.50% |