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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-15 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,974.76–6,986.33 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 6.2% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 40% ±26 | 24% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 54 | 19% ±8 | 40% ±26 | 65% ±42 | 87% ±46 | 1.8d | 0.47% | 0.20% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,946.64–6,951.4 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.9% | 9h | 5.7d ago · 51× | 85% ±23 | 27% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 36% ±17 | 31 | 68% ±13 | 85% ±23 | 93% ±28 | 95% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.27% | 52 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,944.97 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,940.06 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 7.0% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 82% ±21 | 24% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 66% ±11 | 82% ±21 | 87% ±33 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 0.80% | 0.27% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,915.04 (-0.4%) | 1.4 | 9.2% | 12h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 36% ±30 | 26% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 23% ±11 | 35% ±30 | 47% ±56 | 72% | 3.1d | 0.85% | 0.45% | 60 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-1.4%) | 4.7 | 2.5% | 2h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 8% ±13 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 23% ±34 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 101 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,944.97 | 6,974.76 | 6,932.45 | stop | -0.08% |