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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-15 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,986.33 (+0.2%) | 0.8 | 2.9% | 55m | 5.3d ago · 71× | 76% ±18 | 20% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 54 | 56% ±9 | 76% ±18 | 89% ±23 | 96% ±21 | 1h | 0.40% | 0.17% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 6,974.76 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 78% ±26 | 27% ±13 | 42% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 42 | 67% ±12 | 78% ±26 | 90% ±33 | 97% | 1h | 0.44% | 0.33% | 61 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,969.59 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 6,966.89 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 5.7% | 8h | 13.5d ago · 40× | 74% ±35 | 12% ±13 | 54% ±20 | 35% ±19 | 23 | 63% ±16 | 74% ±35 | 87% ±47 | 92% | 2h | 0.38% | 0.12% | 36 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 6,951.4 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 5.3% | 8h | 5.3d ago · 48× | 68% ±26 | 31% ±16 | 33% ±16 | 36% ±16 | 33 | 47% ±11 | 68% ±26 | 80% ±39 | 83% ±52 | 18h | 0.61% | 0.25% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC | 6,914.23–6,920.95 (-0.7%) | 2.3 | 8.1% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 67× | 26% ±23 | 23% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 14% ±7 | 26% ±23 | 46% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 3.3d | 0.70% | 0.24% | 85 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,897.22 (-1.0%) | 3.4 | 9.2% | 12h | 7.3d ago · 58× | 20% ±21 | 26% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 5% ±4 | 20% ±21 | 39% ±43 | 51% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.85% | 0.45% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-1.8%) | 5.8 | 2.6% | 2h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 17% ±30 | 21% ±46 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.