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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-16 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,974.76–6,986.33 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 6.8% | 9h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 51% ±25 | 24% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 55 | 28% ±9 | 51% ±24 | 74% ±38 | 91% ±40 | 22h | 0.46% | 0.21% | 94 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 6,951.4 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.2% | 11h | 5.6d ago · 46× | 86% ±26 | 21% ±15 | 39% ±17 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 71% ±14 | 87% ±25 | 93% ±35 | 96% | 1h | 0.40% | 0.38% | 43 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,949.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 6,938.05–6,946.64 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 7.2% | 11h | 5.6d ago · 67× | 80% ±21 | 23% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 63% ±10 | 80% ±20 | 87% ±30 | 91% ±39 | 1h | 0.70% | 0.24% | 87 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,916.66 (-0.5%) | 1.4 | 10.0% | 13h | 7.4d ago · 58× | 34% ±29 | 26% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 21% ±10 | 34% ±28 | 45% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 3.9d | 0.85% | 0.45% | 64 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-1.5%) | 4.5 | 2.8% | 3h | 6.6d ago · 41× | 8% ±13 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 24% ±34 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 99 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.