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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-16 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,981.3–6,986.33 (+0.6%) | 2.0 | 6.1% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 32% ±24 | 23% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 26% ±12 | 55 | 10% ±6 | 31% ±23 | 56% ±43 | 84% ±51 | 2.5d | 0.46% | 0.17% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,946.6–6,951.4 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 8.0% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 80% ±24 | 27% ±13 | 39% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 43 | 63% ±12 | 80% ±24 | 91% ±28 | 95% ±29 | 2h | 0.42% | 0.29% | 66 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,939.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 6,938.05 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 8.5% | 8h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 85% ±20 | 24% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 28% ±13 | 43 | 69% ±11 | 85% ±20 | 89% ±30 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.80% | 0.27% | 73 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,920.95 (-0.3%) | 0.9 | 8.9% | 11h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 45% ±27 | 26% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 31% ±10 | 44% ±26 | 54% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 2.0d | 0.85% | 0.45% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-1.3%) | 4.5 | 2.5% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 41× | 8% ±13 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 5% ±4 | 8% ±13 | 24% ±37 | 34% ±66 | > 7d | 1.39% | 0.39% | 98 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.