market-monitor · S&P 500 2026-01-20 14:30

S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC

close at post 6,862.06 nearest support 30D VAL -0.2% · hold 26% nearest resistance 14D VAL +0.9% · hold 20%

S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held

Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.

interval value area 7d & 14d periods volume nodes volume profile top trader signals only accounts making only moves over follow hover a level or zone for its odds as known at post time

VAHPOCVAL bands span the 30d level's ±0.25 ATR test zonewhere a window's candles beginhigh-volume nodelow-volume nodefull-history nodes draw fainter 30d profile at scanfull-history profilescan timeafter the scan · still ticking holdchopbreak top traders boughttop traders soldhover for what it was — long open, long tp, short open, short tp or spot · dot size is notional · click one to follow just that account

levels · as known at this post

level	price (distance)	ATR away	volume here	time here	last tested	reach 24h	hold	chop	break	tests	back 4h	back 1d	back 3d	back 7d	median time	bounce	overshoot	scans
7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH	6,977.88–6,986.33 (+1.7%)	4.7	8.3%	8h	5.4d ago · 71×	10% ±14	23% ±11	51% ±13	26% ±12	55	2% ±3	10% ±14	25% ±35	58% ±69	6.2d	0.46%	0.17%	102 → 2
7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC	6,946.48–6,951.4 (+1.2%)	3.4	10.7%	15h	5.6d ago · 78×	19% ±23	26% ±13	40% ±15	34% ±14	43	3% ±4	19% ±23	41% ±48	75% ±60	4.1d	0.42%	0.31%	66 → 2
14D VAL · 7D VAL	6,926.64–6,928.22 (+0.9%)	2.6	11.8%	15h	6.4d ago · 49×	36% ±47	22% ±17	43% ±21	35% ±20	22	16% ±15	36% ±47	80%	95%	1.5d	0.51%	0.39%	22 → 1
at post · 6,862.06
30D VAL	6,846.6 (-0.2%)	0.6	1.8%	3h	6.6d ago · 41×	54% ±35	26% ±19	43% ±22	30% ±20	20	42% ±14	54% ±35	60% ±55	67%	18h	1.39%	0.39%	46 → 1

window	level	side	entry	target	stop	outcome	return
7d	VAL	short	6,862.06	6,812.4	6,946.48	target	+0.13%
14d	VAL	short	6,862.06	6,805.44	6,947.3	target	+0.13%

window

level

side

entry

target

stop

outcome

return

VAL

short

6,862.06

6,812.4

6,946.48

target

+0.13%

14d

VAL

short

6,862.06

6,805.44

6,947.3

target

+0.13%

S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC

levels · as known at this post

setups at this candle