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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,977.88–6,986.33 (+1.9%) | 5.3 | 8.1% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 10% ±15 | 23% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 26% ±12 | 55 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±15 | 25% ±38 | 55% ±69 | 6.0d | 0.46% | 0.17% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 6,946.48–6,951.4 (+1.4%) | 4.0 | 10.5% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 17% ±23 | 26% ±13 | 40% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 43 | 2% ±4 | 17% ±22 | 34% ±46 | 70% ±63 | 4.9d | 0.42% | 0.31% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,915.08–6,925.11 (+1.0%) | 2.7 | 12.4% | 15h | 6.6d ago · 49× | 37% ±55 | 22% ±17 | 43% ±21 | 35% ±20 | 22 | 17% ±16 | 36% ±47 | 78% | 95% | 2.0d | 0.51% | 0.39% | 21 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,847.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 6,846.6 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.3% | 4h | 6.7d ago · 41× | 55% ±37 | 26% ±19 | 43% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 44% ±15 | 56% ±37 | 60% ±68 | 67% | 18h | 1.39% | 0.39% | 41 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.