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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-22 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,975.48–6,986.33 (+1.0%) | 2.3 | 8.8% | 11h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 26% ±20 | 25% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 55 | 7% ±5 | 26% ±20 | 50% ±40 | 78% ±47 | 3.2d | 0.45% | 0.18% | 112 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,946.04–6,951.4 (+0.5%) | 1.3 | 11.5% | 17h | 5.6d ago · 78× | 57% ±27 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 43 | 40% ±11 | 57% ±27 | 80% ±39 | 90% ±42 | 21h | 0.43% | 0.34% | 76 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,908.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,903.47 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 14.3% | 1.1d | 7.4d ago · 58× | 53% ±31 | 26% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 41% ±13 | 53% ±31 | 63% ±55 | 78% | 1.0d | 0.85% | 0.45% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,846.6–6,851.85 (-0.8%) | 2.0 | 4.4% | 7h | 6.6d ago · 67× | 36% ±28 | 24% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 23% ±10 | 36% ±28 | 44% ±49 | 66% ±65 | 4.0d | 0.94% | 0.31% | 67 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,908.77 | 6,975.48 | 6,888.56 | expired | +0.12% |