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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,975.48–6,986.33 (+0.7%) | 1.7 | 8.8% | 11h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 34% ±23 | 25% ±11 | 48% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 55 | 13% ±7 | 34% ±23 | 58% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 2.2d | 0.45% | 0.18% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 6,945.93–6,951.4 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 11.5% | 17h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 73% ±23 | 24% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 34% ±14 | 43 | 56% ±11 | 72% ±23 | 88% ±29 | 93% ±36 | 3h | 0.43% | 0.34% | 82 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,925.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 6,903.47 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 14.1% | 1.0d | 7.2d ago · 58× | 44% ±27 | 26% ±16 | 29% ±16 | 44% ±17 | 31 | 33% ±10 | 45% ±26 | 54% ±44 | 78% ±57 | 2.0d | 0.85% | 0.45% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,846.6–6,852.93 (-1.1%) | 2.5 | 4.5% | 7h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 24% ±21 | 24% ±13 | 47% ±15 | 29% ±13 | 44 | 14% ±7 | 24% ±21 | 39% ±43 | 61% ±68 | 4.0d | 0.94% | 0.31% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.