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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-27 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 7D VAH | 6,982.38–6,988.82 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.1% | 6h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 73% ±19 | 21% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 55 | 57% ±9 | 73% ±19 | 88% ±24 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 0.39% | 0.22% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,978.58 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 6,974.84 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 5.8% | 8h | 14.4d ago · 30× | 89% ±30 | 14% ±15 | 50% ±22 | 36% ±22 | 19 | 70% ±17 | 90% ±26 | 90% ±42 | 93% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.33% | 28 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,942.87–6,962.85 (-0.2%) | 1.1 | 5.9% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 66% ±24 | 30% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 45% ±10 | 65% ±23 | 81% ±35 | 89% ±43 | 19h | 0.52% | 0.44% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 6,960.85 (-0.3%) | 1.2 | 6.7% | 10h | 13.5d ago · 40× | 63% ±36 | 11% ±13 | 52% ±20 | 37% ±19 | 24 | 44% ±15 | 63% ±36 | 81% ±54 | 86% | 21h | 0.38% | 0.13% | 41 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 6,917.9 (-0.9%) | 4.1 | 8.7% | 11h | 5.5d ago · 63× | 16% ±22 | 22% ±13 | 46% ±16 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 6% ±6 | 16% ±22 | 34% ±47 | 63% ±67 | 5.9d | 0.57% | 0.15% | 68 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,907.92–6,909.91 (-1.0%) | 4.7 | 9.3% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 67× | 11% ±13 | 26% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 28% ±31 | 51% ±57 | 6.9d | 0.68% | 0.26% | 139 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,894.93 (-1.2%) | 5.7 | 2.5% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 5% ±9 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 16% ±27 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.46% | 123 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,884.94–6,886.94 (-1.3%) | 6.2 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 16% ±27 | 32% ±16 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 4% ±6 | 15% ±25 | 26% ±50 | 35% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 46 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,844.99 (-1.9%) | 9.1 | 1.6% | 3h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 10% ±15 | 25% ±15 | 33% ±16 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 6% ±5 | 10% ±15 | 27% ±39 | 38% ±67 | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.40% | 98 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,978.58 | 6,907.92 | 6,988.82 | stop | +0.03% |