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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-28 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 6,990.44 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 0.5% | 56m | 5.1d ago · 71× | 85% ±17 | 17% ±10 | 55% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 55 | 66% ±9 | 85% ±17 | 92% ±22 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 0.35% | 0.15% | 99 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,988.98 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,976.69–6,983.53 (-0.1%) | 0.4 | 4.7% | 6h | 7.3d ago · 75× | 75% ±23 | 21% ±12 | 45% ±14 | 34% ±13 | 48 | 58% ±11 | 74% ±23 | 87% ±30 | 92% ±38 | 2h | 0.44% | 0.22% | 82 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,974.56–6,980.96 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 5.7% | 7h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 75% ±24 | 30% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 58% ±11 | 73% ±23 | 85% ±31 | 90% ±41 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.44% | 81 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,907.57–6,918.05 (-1.0%) | 4.6 | 9.0% | 11h | 5.1d ago · 67× | 11% ±13 | 25% ±13 | 44% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±13 | 29% ±33 | 53% ±56 | 6.6d | 0.64% | 0.21% | 134 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,895.66 (-1.3%) | 6.1 | 3.0% | 6h | 6.3d ago · 41× | 5% ±10 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±9 | 15% ±27 | 25% ±49 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.46% | 130 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,887.14 (-1.5%) | 6.7 | 1.3% | 2h | 7.0d ago · 58× | 10% ±14 | 25% ±15 | 33% ±16 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 32% ±37 | 44% ±56 | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.40% | 108 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,885–6,887.14 (-1.5%) | 6.7 | 1.3% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 17% ±28 | 32% ±16 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 6% ±7 | 17% ±26 | 25% ±49 | 39% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 47 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,988.98 | 6,990.44 | 6,907.57 | target | -1.09% |
| 14d | VAH | long | 6,988.98 | 7,084.93 | 6,918.05 | stop | -1.09% |