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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-01-28 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D POC · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,976.69–6,992.67 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 6.3% | 8h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 66% ±23 | 25% ±11 | 47% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 55 | 43% ±10 | 66% ±23 | 80% ±32 | 90% ±42 | 12h | 0.42% | 0.22% | 101 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,972.43–6,980.96 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.9% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 82% ±27 | 24% ±16 | 24% ±16 | 52% ±19 | 26 | 63% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 86% ±40 | 92% | 1h | 0.37% | 0.42% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,971.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,942.58–6,961.77 (-0.1%) | 0.7 | 6.3% | 9h | 5.5d ago · 62× | 69% ±24 | 30% ±14 | 27% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 41 | 54% ±10 | 69% ±23 | 85% ±31 | 91% ±40 | 2h | 0.52% | 0.44% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 6,913.79–6,913.91 (-0.8%) | 3.9 | 9.2% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 67× | 13% ±14 | 26% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 31% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±14 | 31% ±32 | 53% ±56 | 6.0d | 0.68% | 0.26% | 144 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 6,904.19 (-1.0%) | 4.5 | 7.3% | 12h | 7.2d ago · 58× | 15% ±16 | 25% ±15 | 33% ±16 | 42% ±17 | 33 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±16 | 35% ±38 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | 0.79% | 0.40% | 107 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 6,895.66 (-1.1%) | 5.1 | 2.6% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 41× | 6% ±11 | 24% ±18 | 40% ±20 | 36% ±20 | 22 | 3% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 17% ±28 | 30% ±52 | > 7d | 1.32% | 0.46% | 119 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,885–6,887.14 (-1.2%) | 5.7 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 17% ±26 | 32% ±16 | 21% ±14 | 47% ±18 | 31 | 2% ±4 | 16% ±26 | 34% ±54 | 43% | > 7d | 0.58% | 0.38% | 49 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 6,971.79 | 6,913.91 | 6,992.67 | target | +0.55% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 6,971.79 | 6,982.02 | 7,004.84 | target | +0.55% |
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,971.79 | 6,913.79 | 6,991.28 | stop | +0.55% |