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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,982.02–6,989.49 (+0.2%) | 0.4 | 11.5% | 15h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 75% ±18 | 27% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 57 | 55% ±8 | 75% ±18 | 87% ±25 | 93% ±28 | 3h | 0.45% | 0.21% | 133 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,970.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,940.44–6,961.77 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 13.1% | 20h | 5.3d ago · 62× | 79% ±22 | 30% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 63% ±11 | 79% ±22 | 93% ±26 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.47% | 78 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,937.85–6,945.77 (-0.4%) | 0.8 | 15.8% | 22h | 5.2d ago · 67× | 67% ±25 | 26% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 50% ±11 | 67% ±25 | 78% ±37 | 86% ±48 | 10h | 0.64% | 0.32% | 86 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,906.33–6,912.72 (-0.8%) | 2.0 | 16.9% | 22h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 27% ±23 | 28% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 16% ±8 | 27% ±23 | 43% ±43 | 64% ±67 | 3.7d | 0.98% | 0.42% | 82 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,803.98–6,846.62 (-1.8%) | 4.3 | 1.3% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 20% ±24 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±5 | 20% ±24 | 46% ±49 | 60% ±68 | 4.0d | 0.60% | 0.38% | 68 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,970.38 | 6,983.22 | 6,928.62 | target | -0.38% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,970.38 | 6,985.22 | 6,912.72 | target | -0.38% |