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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-02 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,989.13–6,989.49 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.9% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 71× | 85% ±17 | 25% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 24% ±11 | 57 | 66% ±9 | 85% ±17 | 92% ±21 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.44% | 0.17% | 104 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,985.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 6,979.89–6,985.22 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 9.0% | 12h | 5.6d ago · 75× | 82% ±22 | 23% ±12 | 44% ±14 | 34% ±13 | 49 | 65% ±11 | 82% ±22 | 90% ±29 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 0.50% | 0.22% | 71 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,968.16–6,980.96 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 13.5% | 18h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 82% ±22 | 30% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 67% ±11 | 83% ±21 | 93% ±24 | 96% ±27 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.47% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAL | 6,937.85–6,945.77 (-0.6%) | 1.3 | 16.0% | 22h | 5.4d ago · 67× | 53% ±28 | 26% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 46 | 34% ±11 | 53% ±27 | 66% ±47 | 77% ±59 | 1.0d | 0.64% | 0.32% | 75 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,908.46–6,912.72 (-1.0%) | 2.4 | 17.2% | 22h | 6.6d ago · 58× | 24% ±22 | 28% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 11% ±7 | 24% ±22 | 41% ±43 | 58% ±68 | 5.3d | 0.98% | 0.42% | 90 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,803.98–6,846.62 (-2.0%) | 4.6 | 1.4% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 19% ±23 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±23 | 46% ±49 | 59% ±68 | 4.9d | 0.60% | 0.38% | 67 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,985.27 | 6,989.13 | 6,937.85 | target | -1.07% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,985.27 | 6,989.49 | 6,908.46 | target | -1.07% |
| 30d | VAH | long | 6,985.27 | 7,057.77 | 6,945.77 | stop | -1.07% |