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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-02 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,977.76–6,991.76 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 17.2% | 23h | 5.5d ago · 78× | 77% ±18 | 26% ±11 | 45% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 57 | 59% ±9 | 78% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.23% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,976.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,942.58–6,961.77 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 13.1% | 21h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 77% ±21 | 30% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 43% ±15 | 44 | 60% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 91% ±25 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.52% | 0.47% | 90 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,939.17 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 12.4% | 17h | 7.4d ago · 67× | 59% ±27 | 22% ±12 | 49% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 46 | 45% ±11 | 58% ±26 | 66% ±42 | 85% ±50 | 18h | 0.69% | 0.35% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,910.59–6,914.86 (-0.9%) | 2.1 | 17.2% | 23h | 6.7d ago · 58× | 26% ±23 | 28% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 14% ±7 | 26% ±23 | 40% ±43 | 60% ±68 | 5.2d | 0.98% | 0.42% | 86 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,803.98–6,846.62 (-1.9%) | 4.4 | 1.3% | 2h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 20% ±24 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 4% ±5 | 20% ±23 | 46% ±49 | 59% ±68 | 4.9d | 0.60% | 0.38% | 69 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 6,976.23 | 6,977.76 | 7,000.4 | target | +0.84% |