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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-03 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,977.76–6,991.76 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 18.0% | 1.0d | 5.5d ago · 78× | 28% ±20 | 26% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 57 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±20 | 53% ±37 | 82% ±43 | 3.0d | 0.45% | 0.22% | 118 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,940.44–6,959.63 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 14.9% | 21h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 70% ±25 | 25% ±16 | 25% ±16 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 49% ±11 | 70% ±25 | 83% ±37 | 92% ±37 | 5h | 0.44% | 0.41% | 76 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,935.22 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 12.9% | 18h | 6.5d ago · 49× | 81% ±27 | 22% ±17 | 37% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 53% ±15 | 81% ±27 | 96% ±23 | 98% | 3h | 0.44% | 0.40% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,912.72–6,914.86 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 17.6% | 1.0d | 6.6d ago · 44× | 88% ±26 | 19% ±16 | 50% ±20 | 31% ±19 | 23 | 65% ±15 | 88% ±26 | 95% ±30 | 98% | 1h | 0.62% | 0.42% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,910.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,803.98–6,846.62 (-0.9%) | 2.0 | 1.4% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 39% ±29 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 26% ±11 | 39% ±29 | 62% ±47 | 88% ±45 | 2.0d | 0.60% | 0.38% | 67 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 6,910.27 | 6,831.37 | 6,982.02 | expired | +0.76% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 6,910.27 | 6,837.77 | 6,977.76 | expired | +0.76% |