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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-03 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 6,977.74–6,992.46 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 15.8% | 23h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 28% ±20 | 27% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 58 | 9% ±5 | 28% ±19 | 52% ±37 | 81% ±44 | 3.1d | 0.47% | 0.21% | 124 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,942.58–6,959.63 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 13.5% | 20h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 72% ±25 | 25% ±16 | 25% ±16 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 49% ±11 | 71% ±25 | 85% ±35 | 93% ±35 | 5h | 0.44% | 0.41% | 75 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,922.35 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 15.8% | 22h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 83% ±30 | 22% ±17 | 37% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 54% ±16 | 82% ±28 | 95% ±30 | 98% | 2h | 0.44% | 0.40% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,917.4 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,912.72–6,913.49 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 16.7% | 23h | 6.9d ago · 58× | 58% ±31 | 28% ±15 | 35% ±16 | 37% ±16 | 35 | 47% ±13 | 59% ±31 | 66% ±54 | 75% | 18h | 0.98% | 0.42% | 61 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,803.98–6,846.62 (-1.0%) | 2.4 | 1.2% | 2h | 1.6d ago · 55× | 32% ±28 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 20% ±10 | 32% ±28 | 60% ±48 | 84% ±51 | 2.1d | 0.60% | 0.38% | 68 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,917.4 | 6,979.59 | 6,899.28 | stop | -0.50% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,917.4 | 6,977.76 | 6,899.29 | stop | -0.50% |