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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-04 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,973.08–6,992.67 (+1.7%) | 3.6 | 16.1% | 1.0d | 5.2d ago · 78× | 13% ±14 | 27% ±11 | 45% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 58 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±14 | 31% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 5.0d | 0.47% | 0.21% | 129 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,912.72–6,913.91 (+0.8%) | 1.7 | 16.6% | 23h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 67% ±41 | 21% ±16 | 43% ±20 | 36% ±19 | 24 | 30% ±16 | 67% ±41 | 88% ±45 | 96% | 21h | 0.53% | 0.41% | 31 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.46–6,929.78 (+0.7%) | 1.6 | 14.3% | 20h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 47% ±31 | 25% ±16 | 25% ±16 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 23% ±10 | 48% ±30 | 71% ±44 | 86% ±49 | 1.9d | 0.44% | 0.41% | 63 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,857.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,803.98–6,846.62 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.3% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 81% ±27 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 55% ±15 | 81% ±27 | 85% ±40 | 98% | 3h | 0.60% | 0.38% | 45 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.