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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-05 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,977.07–6,991.32 (+2.8%) | 5.8 | 16.9% | 1.1d | 5.3d ago · 66× | 8% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 20% ±35 | 55% ±69 | 6.4d | 0.49% | 0.21% | 89 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,951.07 (+2.4%) | 5.0 | 16.4% | 1.1d | 5.2d ago · 71× | 5% ±11 | 21% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 26% ±11 | 58 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 20% ±35 | 69% ±64 | 5.9d | 0.37% | 0.13% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 6,933.22 (+2.2%) | 4.5 | 12.5% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 19% ±24 | 29% ±13 | 43% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 46 | 2% ±3 | 18% ±24 | 37% ±55 | 74% | 4.9d | 0.51% | 0.29% | 58 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,910.19–6,912.39 (+1.8%) | 3.8 | 13.6% | 18h | 6.3d ago · 44× | 40% ±48 | 22% ±17 | 48% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 19% ±16 | 40% ±48 | 77% | 95% | 1.9d | 0.62% | 0.41% | 24 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,910.19–6,929.93 (+1.8%) | 3.8 | 13.6% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 29% ±40 | 25% ±16 | 25% ±16 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±9 | 29% ±40 | 58% ±68 | 84% | 2.9d | 0.44% | 0.41% | 29 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,871.25 (+1.2%) | 2.6 | 4.5% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 33% ±46 | 22% ±17 | 37% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 16% ±15 | 36% ±47 | 84% | 96% | 1.9d | 0.44% | 0.40% | 23 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,802.76–6,826.88 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 1.7% | 2h | 21.2d ago · 30× | 81% ±35 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 42% ±18 | 81% ±35 | 94% ±34 | 97% | 19h | 0.37% | 0.62% | 29 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,787.15 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 6,787.15 | 6,707.33 | 6,933.22 | expired | -1.34% |