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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-05 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,983.4–6,988.95 (+2.1%) | 4.4 | 13.1% | 19h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 11% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 26% ±12 | 48 | 2% ±2 | 11% ±13 | 27% ±33 | 64% ±54 | 5.7d | 0.51% | 0.19% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,936.65–6,956.88 (+1.5%) | 3.0 | 12.3% | 18h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 19% ±19 | 25% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 29% ±12 | 58 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±19 | 38% ±39 | 77% ±59 | 4.2d | 0.43% | 0.23% | 102 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,911.2–6,928.97 (+1.1%) | 2.2 | 13.8% | 19h | 5.5d ago · 65× | 37% ±33 | 27% ±16 | 24% ±15 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 12% ±9 | 38% ±34 | 66% ±54 | 86% | 2.0d | 0.48% | 0.40% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,906.76–6,908.98 (+1.0%) | 2.1 | 11.5% | 15h | 6.4d ago · 44× | 52% ±49 | 22% ±17 | 48% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 25% ±17 | 53% ±49 | 82% | 95% | 1.2d | 0.62% | 0.41% | 26 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,858.92 (+0.3%) | 0.7 | 3.8% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 82% ±27 | 25% ±17 | 36% ±19 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 51% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 96% ±22 | 98% | 3h | 0.45% | 0.35% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,837.09 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,817.9–6,824.56 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 81% ±27 | 34% ±16 | 20% ±14 | 46% ±17 | 32 | 55% ±14 | 82% ±27 | 86% ±40 | 98% | 3h | 0.60% | 0.38% | 47 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.