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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,976.73–6,988.95 (+2.6%) | 5.3 | 17.0% | 1.1d | 5.8d ago · 66× | 10% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±14 | 22% ±33 | 58% ±68 | 5.7d | 0.49% | 0.21% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,956.88 (+2.3%) | 4.7 | 14.3% | 1.1d | 5.7d ago · 71× | 5% ±11 | 21% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 26% ±11 | 58 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±11 | 20% ±35 | 68% ±65 | 5.9d | 0.37% | 0.13% | 94 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,928.97 (+1.6%) | 3.2 | 12.4% | 17h | 5.9d ago · 65× | 28% ±36 | 27% ±16 | 24% ±15 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 7% ±8 | 28% ±33 | 59% ±68 | 82% | 2.9d | 0.48% | 0.40% | 39 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 6,897.87–6,902.31 (+1.4%) | 2.9 | 8.0% | 10h | 5.9d ago · 78× | 33% ±27 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 46 | 10% ±7 | 32% ±26 | 63% ±47 | 87% ±46 | 2.6d | 0.55% | 0.33% | 74 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,818.46 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 3.1% | 5h | 6.8d ago · 49× | 82% ±27 | 25% ±17 | 36% ±19 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 50% ±14 | 81% ±27 | 96% ±22 | 98% | 3h | 0.45% | 0.35% | 48 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 6,806.79–6,813.45 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.3% | 4h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 83% ±37 | 28% ±23 | 6% ±12 | 67% ±24 | 15 | 44% ±20 | 84% ±36 | 96% | 96% | 18h | 0.37% | 0.62% | 23 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,799.99 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.