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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-06 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,976.73–6,988.95 (+1.4%) | 2.7 | 18.2% | 1.2d | 5.3d ago · 66× | 17% ±16 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 48 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±16 | 42% ±37 | 77% ±48 | 3.9d | 0.49% | 0.21% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,956.88 (+1.1%) | 2.1 | 15.6% | 1.1d | 5.1d ago · 71× | 30% ±22 | 21% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 26% ±11 | 58 | 9% ±5 | 30% ±22 | 48% ±40 | 82% ±53 | 3.1d | 0.37% | 0.13% | 103 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,928.97 (+0.4%) | 0.8 | 13.7% | 19h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 70% ±25 | 27% ±16 | 24% ±15 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 48% ±11 | 70% ±25 | 84% ±36 | 93% ±36 | 5h | 0.48% | 0.40% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC · 30D VAL | 6,897.87–6,902.31 (+0.3%) | 0.5 | 8.8% | 11h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 75% ±22 | 27% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 46 | 56% ±10 | 75% ±22 | 87% ±29 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 0.55% | 0.33% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,878.18 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-0.4%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 73% ±28 | 33% ±16 | 19% ±14 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 53% ±12 | 73% ±27 | 81% ±44 | 95% | 3h | 0.61% | 0.38% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,818.46 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 54% ±27 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 36% ±11 | 54% ±27 | 62% ±48 | 79% ±56 | 23h | 0.68% | 0.44% | 76 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 6,878.18 | 6,900.45 | 6,793.55 | target | +0.76% |