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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-06 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,976.73–6,988.95 (+1.0%) | 1.9 | 18.4% | 1.2d | 5.3d ago · 66× | 28% ±20 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 48 | 10% ±6 | 28% ±20 | 54% ±40 | 85% ±41 | 3.0d | 0.49% | 0.21% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,956.88 (+0.7%) | 1.3 | 15.0% | 1.1d | 5.1d ago · 71× | 53% ±23 | 21% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 26% ±11 | 58 | 25% ±8 | 53% ±22 | 72% ±36 | 87% ±38 | 1.0d | 0.37% | 0.13% | 111 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,928.97 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 14.5% | 20h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 77% ±26 | 27% ±16 | 24% ±15 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 58% ±12 | 77% ±26 | 86% ±39 | 92% | 2h | 0.48% | 0.40% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,906.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,895.65–6,900.09 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.6% | 13h | 6.3d ago · 75× | 66% ±26 | 28% ±12 | 36% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 50 | 51% ±11 | 66% ±26 | 75% ±43 | 84% ±51 | 11h | 0.73% | 0.36% | 78 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-0.8%) | 1.5 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 49% ±28 | 33% ±16 | 19% ±14 | 47% ±17 | 33 | 28% ±10 | 49% ±28 | 67% ±46 | 92% ±38 | 1.0d | 0.61% | 0.38% | 72 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,820.59 (-1.2%) | 2.3 | 3.5% | 5h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 29% ±22 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 16% ±7 | 29% ±22 | 42% ±43 | 67% ±65 | 4.0d | 0.68% | 0.44% | 94 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,906.75 | 6,956.88 | 6,820.59 | expired | +0.34% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 6,906.75 | 6,983.4 | 6,878.85 | expired | +0.34% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 6,906.75 | 6,976.73 | 6,884.5 | expired | +0.34% |