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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-09 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,978.95–6,991.17 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 16.8% | 1.0d | 5.9d ago · 66× | 79% ±19 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 48 | 58% ±9 | 79% ±19 | 88% ±26 | 94% ±27 | 2h | 0.49% | 0.21% | 105 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,973.3 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,942.3–6,960.07 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 12.6% | 21h | 5.9d ago · 62× | 78% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 61% ±10 | 78% ±22 | 92% ±24 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 6,956.88 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 13.0% | 22h | 5.9d ago · 52× | 68% ±29 | 22% ±14 | 41% ±17 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 50% ±13 | 68% ±29 | 90% ±34 | 93% | 4h | 0.40% | 0.26% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,895.65–6,900.45 (-1.0%) | 2.1 | 10.9% | 13h | 6.9d ago · 75× | 28% ±23 | 27% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 51 | 13% ±7 | 28% ±23 | 50% ±44 | 68% ±65 | 3.5d | 0.73% | 0.34% | 88 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.8%) | 3.5 | 3.1% | 5h | 1.7d ago · 55× | 23% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 9% ±6 | 23% ±23 | 55% ±49 | 76% ±59 | 2.8d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,822.72 (-2.2%) | 4.3 | 3.4% | 5h | 7.7d ago · 67× | 12% ±13 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 5% ±3 | 12% ±13 | 32% ±32 | 54% ±56 | 6.0d | 0.68% | 0.44% | 144 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.