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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-09 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D POC · 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,967.53–6,993.39 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 13.3% | 22h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 75% ±18 | 26% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 28% ±12 | 58 | 54% ±8 | 75% ±17 | 87% ±23 | 94% ±27 | 7h | 0.46% | 0.19% | 142 → 3 | |
| at post · 6,963.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,942.3–6,948.96 (-0.2%) | 0.5 | 11.7% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 76% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 59% ±10 | 76% ±22 | 91% ±25 | 95% ±31 | 1h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 92 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,897.87–6,900.45 (-0.9%) | 2.1 | 9.1% | 11h | 6.5d ago · 75× | 29% ±24 | 27% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 51 | 13% ±7 | 29% ±23 | 50% ±44 | 68% ±65 | 3.5d | 0.73% | 0.34% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,852.53 (-1.6%) | 3.7 | 2.7% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 14% ±14 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 6% ±4 | 14% ±14 | 32% ±32 | 55% ±56 | 5.9d | 0.68% | 0.44% | 144 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.6%) | 3.7 | 2.6% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 22% ±23 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 8% ±6 | 21% ±23 | 55% ±49 | 74% ±61 | 2.8d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 74 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 6,963.17 | 6,900.45 | 6,988.22 | expired | +0.33% |