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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-10 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D POC · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,981.18–6,993.39 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 14.6% | 21h | 5.7d ago · 66× | 83% ±18 | 29% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 26% ±12 | 48 | 60% ±9 | 83% ±18 | 91% ±23 | 94% ±33 | 2h | 0.51% | 0.19% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,980.27 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 6,969.32–6,976.73 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 16.4% | 1.0d | 5.5d ago · 52× | 72% ±29 | 26% ±14 | 38% ±16 | 36% ±15 | 37 | 55% ±13 | 72% ±28 | 86% ±39 | 88% | 3h | 0.48% | 0.28% | 57 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 6,942.3–6,948.96 (-0.4%) | 1.0 | 11.7% | 18h | 5.7d ago · 62× | 69% ±21 | 29% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 48% ±9 | 68% ±21 | 86% ±28 | 92% ±31 | 18h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 114 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 6,897.87–6,900.43 (-1.1%) | 2.6 | 9.2% | 11h | 6.7d ago · 75× | 23% ±21 | 27% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 51 | 8% ±6 | 23% ±21 | 45% ±44 | 62% ±67 | 4.4d | 0.73% | 0.34% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,852.1 (-1.8%) | 4.2 | 2.7% | 4h | 7.5d ago · 67× | 13% ±14 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 5% ±4 | 13% ±13 | 32% ±32 | 54% ±56 | 6.8d | 0.68% | 0.44% | 144 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.8%) | 4.2 | 2.6% | 4h | 1.5d ago · 55× | 21% ±22 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 5% ±5 | 20% ±22 | 48% ±49 | 66% ±66 | 3.9d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 79 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 6,980.27 | 7,097.48 | 6,900.43 | expired | -0.90% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,980.27 | 6,986.73 | 6,897.87 | target | -0.90% |