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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-11 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,964.68–6,987.08 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 11.4% | 20h | 5.1d ago · 78× | 25% ±18 | 26% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 27% ±11 | 59 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±18 | 49% ±37 | 83% ±43 | 3.2d | 0.45% | 0.21% | 134 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,942.3–6,984.51 (+0.4%) | 1.0 | 9.2% | 13h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 69% ±24 | 26% ±15 | 23% ±15 | 51% ±17 | 32 | 47% ±10 | 70% ±23 | 84% ±32 | 93% ±35 | 18h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 87 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,917.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,895.34–6,902.31 (-0.2%) | 0.6 | 7.6% | 10h | 6.3d ago · 58× | 53% ±24 | 26% ±14 | 36% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 41% ±10 | 53% ±24 | 60% ±43 | 77% ±59 | 1.4d | 0.92% | 0.42% | 98 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,869.74 (-0.7%) | 1.9 | 3.6% | 4h | 7.0d ago · 67× | 41% ±27 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 23% ±9 | 41% ±27 | 49% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 3.1d | 0.68% | 0.44% | 76 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.0%) | 2.6 | 2.0% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 30% ±26 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 18% ±9 | 30% ±25 | 59% ±48 | 81% ±54 | 2.1d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 75 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.