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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-11 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,964.68–6,986.73 (+0.1%) | 0.3 | 10.7% | 19h | 5.2d ago · 78× | 67% ±18 | 27% ±11 | 46% ±13 | 27% ±11 | 59 | 45% ±8 | 67% ±18 | 83% ±25 | 93% ±25 | 13h | 0.46% | 0.21% | 159 → 4 | |
| at post · 6,955.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,922.31 (-0.5%) | 1.3 | 10.3% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 63% ±24 | 28% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 44% ±14 | 47 | 40% ±10 | 64% ±23 | 81% ±32 | 88% ±44 | 21h | 0.50% | 0.46% | 102 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,895.34–6,902.31 (-0.8%) | 2.1 | 7.7% | 10h | 6.4d ago · 58× | 26% ±21 | 26% ±14 | 36% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 12% ±7 | 25% ±21 | 40% ±43 | 60% ±68 | 5.2d | 0.92% | 0.42% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,871.87 (-1.2%) | 3.2 | 3.7% | 4h | 7.1d ago · 67× | 16% ±15 | 22% ±12 | 47% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 8% ±4 | 16% ±15 | 33% ±32 | 59% ±56 | 5.8d | 0.68% | 0.44% | 145 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.5%) | 4.0 | 2.1% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 20% ±22 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 6% ±5 | 20% ±21 | 49% ±44 | 65% ±66 | 3.9d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 81 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.