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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-11 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,968 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.70 to 0.16) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,980.68–6,986.73 (+0.6%) | 1.8 | 9.9% | 15h | 5.5d ago · 71× | 29% ±20 | 26% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 24% ±11 | 59 | 11% ±6 | 30% ±21 | 54% ±40 | 84% ±42 | 2.9d | 0.48% | 0.17% | 115 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,943.34–6,949.74 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 10.8% | 15h | 5.7d ago · 78× | 77% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 47 | 58% ±10 | 77% ±22 | 87% ±29 | 94% ±32 | 2h | 0.45% | 0.26% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,940.08–6,964.51 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 9.2% | 12h | 5.7d ago · 65× | 80% ±25 | 26% ±15 | 23% ±15 | 51% ±17 | 32 | 61% ±12 | 81% ±24 | 90% ±33 | 95% | 1h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 60 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,939.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,922.31 (-0.3%) | 0.8 | 8.9% | 13h | 5.6d ago · 62× | 72% ±21 | 27% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 52% ±9 | 72% ±20 | 89% ±25 | 94% ±27 | 3h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,893.21–6,902.31 (-0.5%) | 1.7 | 6.7% | 9h | 6.7d ago · 67× | 37% ±25 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 35% ±13 | 48 | 22% ±9 | 36% ±24 | 49% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 2.7d | 0.82% | 0.43% | 87 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.3%) | 3.9 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 55× | 21% ±22 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 7% ±6 | 21% ±21 | 52% ±44 | 69% ±64 | 3.0d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 82 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 6,939.68 | 6,893.21 | 6,980.68 | target | +1.53% |