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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-12 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,980.68–6,986.73 (+0.4%) | 1.3 | 10.3% | 15h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 49% ±22 | 26% ±11 | 51% ±13 | 24% ±11 | 59 | 25% ±8 | 49% ±22 | 71% ±34 | 89% ±36 | 1.3d | 0.48% | 0.17% | 120 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 6,966.74–6,984.51 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 9.5% | 17h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 73% ±24 | 26% ±15 | 23% ±15 | 51% ±17 | 32 | 51% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 95% ±30 | 3h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 80 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,950.66 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 6,943.34–6,949.74 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 12.5% | 19h | 5.2d ago · 75× | 77% ±24 | 26% ±12 | 40% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 51 | 61% ±11 | 77% ±24 | 88% ±32 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 0.54% | 0.25% | 74 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,922.31 (-0.4%) | 1.2 | 9.3% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 62× | 65% ±21 | 27% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 48 | 42% ±9 | 65% ±21 | 82% ±31 | 89% ±35 | 19h | 0.51% | 0.48% | 114 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 6,893.21–6,902.31 (-0.7%) | 2.0 | 7.0% | 9h | 6.4d ago · 67× | 29% ±22 | 24% ±12 | 41% ±14 | 35% ±13 | 48 | 13% ±7 | 28% ±22 | 41% ±43 | 61% ±68 | 4.9d | 0.82% | 0.43% | 97 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-1.4%) | 4.2 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 20% ±21 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 6% ±5 | 20% ±21 | 47% ±44 | 64% ±67 | 4.0d | 0.62% | 0.39% | 85 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 6,950.66 | 6,980.68 | 6,901.74 | stop | -1.47% |
| 14d | POC | long | 6,950.66 | 6,980.68 | 6,893.21 | stop | -1.47% |
| 30d | POC | long | 6,950.66 | 6,986.73 | 6,902.31 | stop | -1.47% |