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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,980.89–6,986.73 (+1.8%) | 4.4 | 11.3% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 10% ±13 | 27% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 23% ±11 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±13 | 25% ±32 | 66% ±54 | 5.9d | 0.49% | 0.16% | 128 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,943.34–6,950.47 (+1.2%) | 3.1 | 12.7% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 18% ±20 | 29% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 4% ±4 | 19% ±20 | 44% ±43 | 86% ±49 | 3.6d | 0.45% | 0.26% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,924.53 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 10.1% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 51% ±30 | 25% ±15 | 25% ±15 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 22% ±10 | 51% ±30 | 72% ±44 | 88% ±46 | 1.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,891.07–6,905.36 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 5.9% | 7h | 6.3d ago · 49× | 77% ±29 | 25% ±17 | 40% ±19 | 35% ±18 | 26 | 45% ±14 | 77% ±29 | 93% ±28 | 97% | 12h | 0.51% | 0.44% | 48 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,860.55 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,829–6,851.22 (-0.1%) | 0.3 | 2.3% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 55× | 80% ±28 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 55% ±14 | 80% ±28 | 84% ±41 | 98% | 3h | 0.62% | 0.39% | 49 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.