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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-12 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,981.11–6,987.08 (+2.2%) | 5.4 | 11.2% | 17h | 5.2d ago · 71× | 9% ±13 | 27% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 23% ±11 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 22% ±33 | 60% ±55 | 6.3d | 0.49% | 0.16% | 105 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,943.34–6,950.18 (+1.6%) | 4.0 | 11.9% | 17h | 5.4d ago · 78× | 14% ±19 | 29% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 2% ±3 | 14% ±18 | 31% ±41 | 77% ±58 | 4.8d | 0.45% | 0.26% | 82 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,906.76–6,924.53 (+1.1%) | 2.7 | 9.6% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 37% ±33 | 25% ±15 | 25% ±15 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 11% ±9 | 36% ±31 | 67% ±53 | 87% | 2.0d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 51 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,882.54–6,905.11 (+0.7%) | 1.8 | 4.8% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 55% ±44 | 25% ±17 | 40% ±19 | 35% ±18 | 26 | 21% ±14 | 54% ±44 | 86% ±48 | 96% | 1.3d | 0.51% | 0.44% | 32 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,833.54 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,804.57–6,822.34 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 2.6% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 78% ±27 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 55% ±13 | 78% ±27 | 82% ±44 | 96% | 3h | 0.62% | 0.39% | 53 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.