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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-13 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 6,981.54–6,987.08 (+1.9%) | 4.6 | 11.7% | 18h | 5.1d ago · 71× | 9% ±12 | 27% ±11 | 50% ±13 | 23% ±11 | 60 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 24% ±32 | 65% ±54 | 5.9d | 0.49% | 0.16% | 126 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 6,943.34–6,954.69 (+1.4%) | 3.3 | 12.4% | 18h | 5.3d ago · 78× | 15% ±19 | 29% ±13 | 40% ±14 | 31% ±13 | 48 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±19 | 39% ±43 | 83% ±52 | 4.2d | 0.45% | 0.26% | 86 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,908.98–6,924.53 (+0.9%) | 2.1 | 10.5% | 15h | 5.3d ago · 65× | 38% ±34 | 25% ±15 | 25% ±15 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 11% ±9 | 38% ±32 | 67% ±53 | 85% | 2.8d | 0.38% | 0.42% | 52 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 6,882.54–6,905.95 (+0.5%) | 1.2 | 5.2% | 5h | 6.2d ago · 49× | 74% ±30 | 25% ±17 | 40% ±19 | 35% ±18 | 26 | 41% ±14 | 71% ±31 | 93% ±28 | 97% | 12h | 0.51% | 0.44% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 6,848.53 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 6,831.22–6,846.77 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 55× | 85% ±29 | 32% ±16 | 19% ±13 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 61% ±15 | 85% ±26 | 90% ±41 | 98% | 1h | 0.62% | 0.39% | 39 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.