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S&P 500 · 1h · posted 2026-02-18 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
S&P 500 · these odds carry no usable signal 1,967 tests, 28% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.0% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0000 of 0.200, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0016), and their calibration slope is -0.28 (95% -0.68 to 0.15) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D POC · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 6,978.47–6,988.67 (+1.1%) | 2.2 | 14.2% | 21h | 5.4d ago · 66× | 26% ±19 | 30% ±13 | 45% ±14 | 25% ±12 | 50 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 50% ±37 | 81% ±44 | 3.1d | 0.53% | 0.20% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 6,950.97 (+0.7%) | 1.4 | 11.9% | 18h | 5.4d ago · 51× | 46% ±26 | 34% ±15 | 34% ±15 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 24% ±9 | 46% ±26 | 65% ±42 | 93% ±36 | 1.9d | 0.42% | 0.17% | 83 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 6,907.03–6,927.44 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 11.2% | 15h | 5.4d ago · 65× | 76% ±24 | 27% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 49% ±17 | 34 | 56% ±12 | 76% ±24 | 86% ±34 | 93% ±34 | 2h | 0.41% | 0.42% | 70 → 2 | |
| at post · 6,900.52 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 30D VAL · 7D POC · 14D VAL | 6,851.79–6,888.2 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 6.5% | 7h | 5.4d ago · 75× | 52% ±24 | 25% ±12 | 38% ±13 | 37% ±13 | 52 | 37% ±9 | 51% ±24 | 70% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 1.3d | 0.65% | 0.33% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 6,809.11 (-1.3%) | 2.6 | 3.6% | 5h | 7.2d ago · 67× | 27% ±19 | 21% ±11 | 46% ±14 | 33% ±13 | 49 | 12% ±6 | 27% ±19 | 42% ±37 | 67% ±53 | 4.1d | 0.67% | 0.45% | 121 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.